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Mortgage rates dipped lower for the second consecutive week after the Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates unchanged at its August meeting.  Although the Fed's statement reflected its more aggressive rate strategy, its move to stay put was widely expected after its June hike.  The Fed's concise statement highlighted a strengthening economy including a strong labor market, household spending and business investment.  Although some could interpret the use of more hawkish language as paving the way for future interest rate hikes, the mortgage market responded positively to the Fed's decision to hold the target Federal Funds rate at 1.750% to 2.000%.

Bullish telegraphing from the Fed as well as a string of favorable economic news had pushed mortgage rates higher for much of the summer but rates have pulled back the past two weeks, which is positive news for borrowers. Rates dipped last week on the news that the Fed left interest rates unchanged and slid again this week as turmoil in the global currency market led investors to buy U.S. treasuries, pushing yields lower.  Lower treasury yields usually translates into lower mortgage rates, which is what happened this week.

The drop in rates may only be temporary in light of recent reports that show a tightening job market, although moderate wage growth could help keep inflation low and benefit mortgage rates.  Although the real estate market is facing challenges due to a lack of affordable inventory and other factors, the overall strength of the economy is offering little reason for the Fed to change course which could lead to higher mortgage rates in the future despite the decline we saw this week.   

The mortgage rate for a 30 year fixed rate loan slid 0.125% to 4.250% while the rate for a 15 year fixed rate mortgage dropped to 3.625%.  The interest rate on a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage (ARM) also declined 0.125% to 3.750%.  FHA mortgage rates and VA mortgage rates both held steady at 3.875%, with both programs appealing to borrowers focused on low or no down payment programs, especially first-time home buyers.  Jumbo mortgage rates dropped to 4.375% while non-owner occupied mortgage rates remained at 4.625%.

Although the Fed's decision to keep rates unchanged was anticipated, the mortgage market's reaction to the news was pleasantly surprising.  After rising moderately over June and July, the drop in mortgage rates is welcome news for borrowers.  While interest rates are impossible to predict, prospective borrowers looking to buy a home or refinance may be able to lock in a lower rate by acting sooner rather than later.  As lenders react differently to dynamic market conditions, we have also seen greater fluctuations in mortgage rate pricing, which means borrowers benefit more by comparing several lenders.

Because rates change constantly, we continue to actively monitor the mortgage market for new developments.  Borrowers should check the FREEandCLEAR rate tables regularly to review personalized, updated mortgage rates for lenders in their area.  Our rate tables are free to use and require no personal information.